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About us 

Based in Nanjing Medical University, Nanjing, China, we are a newly established research group interested in infectious diseases epidemiology and modelling. Our research focuses on the following themes:

Read our featured publications below to find out more.

Featured publications

2023

  • Cong B，Dighero I，Zhang T，Chung A，Nair H，Li Y*. Understanding the age spectrum of respiratory syncytial virus associated hospitalisation and mortality burden based on statistical modelling methods: a systematic analysis. BMC Medicine. 21, 224 (2023):s12916-023-02932-5.
  • Deng S, Guo L, Cheryl C, Meijer A, Moyes J, Pasittungkul S, Poovorawan Y, Teirlinck A, Boven MV, Wanlapakorn N, Wolter N, Paget J , Nair H , Li Y*. Impact of subgroup distribution on seasonality of human respiratory syncytial virus: A global systematic analysis. J Infect Dis. 2023; May 30.

    • 2022

  • Wang X，Dong Y，Thompson WD，Nair H，Li Y*. Short-term local predictions of COVID-19 in the United Kingdom using dynamic supervised machine learning algorithms. Commun Med. 2, 119 (2022):s43856-022-00184-7.
  • Li Y*, Wang X, Blau DM, Caballero MT, Feikin DR, Gill GJ, Madhi SA, Omer SB, Simoes EAF, Campbell H, Bermejo Pariente A, Bardach D, Bassat Q, Casalegno JS, Chakhunashvili G, Crawford N, Danilenko D, Do LAH, Echavarria M, Gentile A, Gordon A, Heikkinen T, Huang QS, Jullien S, Krishnan A, Lopez EL, Markic J, Mira-Iglesias A, Moore Hannah, Moyes J, Mwananyanda L, Nokes J, Noordeen F, Obodai E, Palani N, Romero C, Salimi V, Satav A, Seo E, Shchomak Z, Singleton R, Stolyarov K, Stoszek SK, von Gottberg A, Wurzel D, Yoshida LM, Yung CF, Zar HJ, Nair H. Global, regional, and national disease burden estimates of acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in young children in 2019: a systematic analysis. Lancet. 2022; May 19:S0140-6736(22)00478-0.
  • Li Y*, Wang X, Broberg EK, Campbell H, Nair H. Seasonality of respiratory syncytial virus and its association with meteorological factors in 13 European countries, week 40 2010 to week 39 2019. Euro Surveill. 2022;27(16):2100619.
  • Li Y*, Wang X, Cong B, Deng S, Feikin DR, Nair H.  Understanding the Potential Drivers for Respiratory Syncytial Virus Rebound During the Coronavirus Disease 2019 Pandemic. J Infect Dis. 2022;225(6):957-964.

    • 2021

  • Li Y, Campbell H, Kulkarni D, Harpur A, Nundy M, Wang X, Nair H*.  The temporal association of introducing and lifting non-pharmaceutical interventions with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 131 countries. The Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2021;21(2):193-202.
  • Li Y, Wang X, Campbell H, Nair H*.  The association of community mobility with the time-varying reproduction number (R) of SARS-CoV-2: a modelling study across 330 local UK authorities. Lancet Digital Health. 2021 August 31: S2589-7500(21)00144-8.
  • Li Y, Hodgson D, Wang X, Atkins KE, Feikin DR, Nair H*. Respiratory syncytial virus seasonality and prevention strategy planning for passive immunisation of infants in low-income and middle-income countries: a modelling study. Lancet Infectious Diseases. 2021 May 6:S1473-3099(20)30703-9.
    —ReSViNET "Paper of the month"
  • Li Y, Johnson EK, Shi T, Campbell H, Chaves SS, Commaille-Chapus C, Dighero I, James SL, Mahé C, Ooi Y, Paget J, van Pomeren T, Viboud C, Nair H*. National burden estimates of hospitalisations for acute lower respiratory infections due to respiratory syncytial virus in young children in 2019 among 58 countries: a modelling study. Lancet Respiratory Medicine. 2021;9(2):175-185.

    • 2020

  • Li Y*, Wang X*, Nair H. Global Seasonality of Human Seasonal Coronaviruses: A Clue for Postpandemic Circulating Season of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2? Journal of Infectious Diseases. 2020 Sep 1;222(7):1090-1097. 

    • 2019

  • Li Y, Reeves RM, Wang X, Bassat Q, Brooks WA, Cohen C, Moore DP, Nunes M, Rath B, Campbell H, Nair H*. Global patterns in monthly activity of influenza virus, respiratory syncytial virus, parainfluenza virus, and metapneumovirus: a systematic analysis. Lancet Global Health. 2019 Aug;7(8):e1031-e1045.  
    An interactive prediction tool can be found here.